major_clanger: Clangers (Royal Mail stamp) (Default)
[personal profile] major_clanger
Spaceflight Now has a regularly-updated news feed on the SpaceShipOne flight and subsequent press conference.

Scaled Composites are claiming that apogee was 100.124 km, so they hit their target by just 124 metres. Whilst 'watching' the flight (i.e. hitting 'refresh' on my web browser whilst pointed at the above) I did a quick back-of-the-envelope calculation to the effect that every 1 metre-per-second of speed at the end of the ascent burn added 100 metres to the peak altitude. Since SS1 was accelerating at 3g - or about thirty metres per second every second - at burnout, this means that if the burn had been, oh, 1/20 of a second shorter, it wouldn't have reached 100 km.

Now that is cutting it fine.

Some rough Rocket Science:

SS1's flight profile is to accelerate vertically to Mach 3 (about 1000 m/s) at about 50 km altitude, then coast to apogee before coming straight back down again. If you are travelling upwards at velocity v then your peak altitude will be

s = (v^2)/2a

where a is acceleration due to gravity. That's 9.81 m/s/s, or about 10 for our purposes. So, peak altitude above burnout height h will be

peak = h + (v^2)/2a

and if h = 50,000 and v = 1000, then we get a peak of 100,000 m as required.

So what is the sensitivity of this to burnout velocity? We want to know the rate of change of peak altitude with respect to v, which we get by differentiating:

d(peak)/dv = 2v/2a = v/a

When v = 1000 m/s, d(peak)/dv = 100 m per m/s (a bit of an odd unit, but it's what we're after). So a very small change in burnout speed has quite a big impact of peak altitude, and this effect is made even worse because SS1 is lightest, and thus accelerating fastest, just before burnout. So a tiny change in burn length can significantly affect how high it ends up.

MC

Date: 2004-06-21 11:27 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] purpletigron.livejournal.com
Looks plausible :-)

Date: 2004-06-21 11:49 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] ffutures.livejournal.com
Is there an RSS feed? Couldn't find one.

Date: 2004-06-21 12:03 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] major-clanger.livejournal.com
Sorry - bad terminology on my part. (And I should know better, having just started using a syndication reader.) It's just a blog-type page with frequent updates.

MC

Date: 2004-06-21 01:26 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] bellinghman.livejournal.com
Hmm, and if they had added another 100 kg of mass (two light passengers), they wouldn't have reached that velocity.

Methinks they'll need to get the motor and/or flight profile more finely tuned. It looks as though their design will barely meet its design parameters.

Date: 2004-06-21 02:23 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] major-clanger.livejournal.com
Space Daily reports Burt Rutan as saying that SS1 had control problems resulting in a less-than-optimum trajectory - they were aiming for 360,000 ft (about 110 km) but evidently didn't go up as vertically as intended.

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Simon Bradshaw

January 2022

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