Feb. 15th, 2010

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A follow-up to this post, in view of the following BBC story:

A majority of women believe some rape victims should take responsibility for what happened, a survey suggests.

...The survey of more than 1,000 people in London marked the 10th anniversary of the Haven service for rape victims...

...The study found that women were less forgiving of the victim than men.


The story concludes by noting that 'the findings may help explain why juries are reluctant to convict in some rape trials.' That's something of an understatement. As I pointed out in my earlier post, if three or more of the jury disbelieve the complainant it is simply not possible to obtain a conviction, because of the rule that a jury decision must be by at least a 10-2 majority.

Even all-female juries wouldn't improve the rape conviction rate. Indeed, on this evidence, such a move would worsen it.

We are very attached to trial by jury. The concept goes back centuries, and the freedom of a jury to reach its own decision was enshrined in English law as far back as 1670 (the trial of Penn and Meade). The recent decision to allow non-jury trials in certain cases has caused much disquiet and interfering in the right to by judged by one's peers is seen as a radical and extreme change to our criminal justice system. But should we tolerate a system that convicts in some 6% of rape complaints?
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Looking for international comparative data on rape prosecutions, to follow up comments on my earlier post, I found an extremely comprehensive recent report from the Child and Woman Abuse Studies Unit at London Metropolitan University:

"Different systems, similar outcomes? Tracking attrition in reported rape cases in eleven European countries" (4MB PDF)

Contains some surprising results, in particular as regards the country in Europe with the highest rate (47 per 100,000) of reported rapes. It's Sweden. However, reading the report makes it clear that much of the variation in reporting rates may be due to social factors rather than actual underlying differences.

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Simon Bradshaw

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