major_clanger: Clangers (Royal Mail stamp) (Default)
Simon Bradshaw ([personal profile] major_clanger) wrote2007-12-31 09:43 am

A Mars-Shattering (or at least denting) Kaboom?

You might have seen the news story a couple of weeks ago about the asteroid with a 1 in 300 chance of hitting Mars at the end of January, or the follow-up that further observations had lowered the odds to around 1 in 75.

Well, a postdoc in Alaska has trawled through sky survey images to find more tracking data for 2007 WD5, and the whacks-into-Mars odds are now 1 in 25. The chances are still that this will be a near miss, but if I was Marvin the Martian I'd be firing up the old Illudium PU-36 Explosive Space Modulator just in case.

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